Will the pumps run dry? How the struggle in Iran is impacting Australia’s oil provide


At the moment, Vitality Minister Chris Bowen mentioned gas reserves had been “regular in comparison with final week”.

“Now we have acquired all our anticipated delivery of petrol and diesel, that our refineries proceed to work, and certainly, the provision of petrol has been safe, and has been simply as anticipated,” he mentioned, urging Australians to not panic-buy the inventory.

Automobiles lining up exterior a petroleum station in Mascot, Sydney. (Louie Douvis)

Bowen mentioned proper now Australia has 1.6 billion litres of petrol, 2.7 billion litres of diesel and 800 million litres of jet gas.

This interprets to 37 days price of petrol, 30 days of diesel and 29 days of jet gas.

“What we have now seen, is actual and unacceptable shortages in rural and regional areas specifically, as we have been coping with a large explosion in demand,” Bowen mentioned.

Unbiased economist Saul Eslake advised nine.com.au Australia in all probability will not run out of petrol.
Energy Minister Chris Bowen
Vitality Minister Chris Bowen mentioned proper now Australia has 1.6 billion litres of petrol, 2.7 billion litres of diesel and 800 million litres of jet gas. (9News)

However the circumstances are totally different from the Gulf Wars or the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which additionally triggered costs to spike.

“I do not assume it would. However the likelihood just isn’t zero,” he mentioned. “It is increased than it was in 2022, in 2004 and 1991.”

Yesterday the federal government launched as much as 20 per cent of the baseline minimal stockholding obligation for petrol and diesel, concentrating on areas experiencing native provide disruptions.

“That is on high of different actions together with briefly amending gas high quality requirements and supporting ACCC authorisation so gas corporations can coordinate provide and unlock bottlenecks,” Bowen mentioned.

“We are going to preserve performing to help communities and preserve Australia shifting.”

Australia has two oil refineries – in Brisbane and Geelong – which stay open with the assistance of federal authorities subsidies and a brand new deal on these might be introduced as early as subsequent week.

Australian oil refinery
Australia has two oil refineries – in Brisbane and Geelong – which stay open with the assistance of federal authorities subsidies (9News)

“We is not going to see a refinery shut underneath the Albanese Authorities,” Bowen vowed.

However, the closure of six home oil refineries within the final 20 years, means Australia imports 90 per cent of its oil wants.

And, with ships nonetheless held up by Iran within the Strait of Hormuz, the nations we depend on are additionally struggling to satisfy their very own provide.

Most of Australia’s gas comes into the nation already refined, virtually none of it instantly from the Persian Gulf region.

South Korea offered us $12.75 billion of petrol (together with diesel). One other $8.5 billion got here from Singapore.
Extra refined petroleum got here from Malaysia, India, Taiwan, China, Brunei and Japan. Only some hundred million {dollars} price got here from the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and even much less from Oman.

However the place these refiners get their oil from would possibly fear Australians trying to replenish.

Many of the oil South Korea refines on the market to Australia comes from the Center East.

That features Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, Qatar and Oman.

Much of Australia's petrol is bought in refined form from South Korea.
A lot of Australia’s petrol is purchased in refined type from South Korea. (Adobe Inventory)

Greater than a 3rd of Singapore’s oil is sourced from Arab nations.

In 2024, Australia imported $7 billion of crude oil.

However little or no of that’s coming from the Strait of Hormuz.

The biggest chunk of oil comes from Malaysia, primarily based on 2024 knowledge. Extra comes from Vietnam, Brunei and america.

Solely six per cent comes from the UAE. No different Arab states offered oil on to Australia that 12 months.

Australia additionally exports nearly as a lot crude oil because it imports.

An oil tanker going through the Strait of Hormuz.
An oil tanker going by the Strait of Hormuz. (Adobe Inventory)

AMP economist My Bui mentioned she wasn’t too frightened about Australia working out of petrol.

“We export loads of crude oil, and we have now to import loads of our refined petrol from Asia,” she mentioned.

“However when it comes to vitality, we are literally a web vitality exporter due to LNG and coal.”

Eslake flagged one other potential concern for Australia’s gas provide.

A big proportion of Australia’s strategic reserve is not saved domestically, however within the United States.

“If that reserve is required by america, they’re going to take it,” Eslake mentioned.

“One of many different hallmarks of the Trump administration is that they do not give a rat’s ass about their conventional allies.”

Black oil pump jacks in the desert of Bahrain.
Black oil pump jacks within the desert of Bahrain. (Getty Photographs/iStockphoto)

Merely halting these exports to ensure native provide would not essentially remedy the issue.

Australia exports its crude oil and imports refined oil as a result of it is cheaper to take action.

Australia doesn’t have the capability to refine all of the oil it wants into diesel and petrol. Upping our refining capability would result in even increased costs on the pumps.

However having sufficient petrol within the nation will not essentially imply costs will go down.

Due to the worldwide market, a barrel of oil within the Center East will promote for a similar worth as one in Australia.

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